Saturday, November 24, 2018

Good News....Sort of


The BC government announced this week that by 2040 all new cars sold in BC will be zero emission. That is good news. There is no doubt that reducing the number of vehicles on the road that use carbon based fuels to operate will reduce the amount of carbon that is spewed into the air. Forcing car companies to produce more zero emission cars is a great place to start but there are a few problems with this announcement.

1) The announced plan only covers light use vehicles. I think that means that people will still be able to buy pick-up trucks and SUVs that use some form of petroleum. Given that a number of the car companies have already decided to stop making sedans (see my blog of May 15 of this year)because there is limited demand for such vehicles, I am somewhat unconvinced as to whether or not the government's plan will make a big difference. It will only affect those people who are already committed to buying smaller vehicles.

2) While the government has made a commitment to provide some rebates (up to $5000) for those who purchase a new vehicle, the costs of a new electric or hydrogen cell vehicle are still prohibitive for many people. According to a BC Hydro website (https://www.bchydro.com/powersmart/electric-vehicles/owning-an-electric-vehicle/options.html) one can by a small two-seater electric vehicle for just under $27,000. By the time one adds any options, the cost quickly escalates to over $30,000, not including shipping, taxes etc. Larger vehicles start at the mid $35,000 range, again before options and taxes etc. I am clearly not a buyer of new cars in part because I have an aversion to going into debt for five to seven years, but it feels as if that is a lot of money to spend on a small vehicle that as of yet, we have no sense of its resale value after those seven years.

3) The lower price cars have very limited range, no more than a 100 kilometres before recharging. Even the mid range ones can only travel for 120 kilometres. While these distances may be great for those who only drive a few kilometres each day, the vehicles lack the range to even make a round trip from Duncan to Victoria. For anyone living outside of a major city, it strikes me that the range is insufficient for most users. If I had to buy a new vehicle in 2040 I would be forced, unless there is significant improvement in both price and distances to buy a non-electric SUV.

4) 2040 is just too far away. If we are going to make the switch, let us do it sooner. If the car companies know that we are serious about making the change, then perhaps they will get more serious about increasing production/reducing costs and looking at ways of extending distances travelled. I appreciate that there is a significant amount of work that needs to be done in terms of infrastructure etc, but until people see that there are sufficient recharging stations across the province and access to repairs etc, few will get on the bandwagon.

The reality is that in 2040, I will be over 90 and in all likelihood I will not be driving so it is all a moot matter. That is probably true for most of the BC cabinet members who made the decision. It was an easy announcement to make. Any cost will be insignificant for this or even the next government and it keeps the Greens happy. It looks as if someone is doing something to protect the planet. It was particularly easy when none of the members will have to face any of the consequences or figure out how to either enforce it or to pay for it.

It is well past time when people need to stop paying lip service to environment policy and start actually doing something meaningful.

1 comment:

  1. Electric cars.... I'm not certain the theory can currently be put into practice. The theory as I understand it is that fewer petro burning vehicles will reduce pollution. Sounds simple. I don't remember how BC generates it's electricity, but in Ontario it is largely nuclear and natural gas. Coal fired plants are closing if not all closed. One of the issues not generally mentioned is that Hydro estimates that as much as 40% of the electricity produced is lost in transmission before reaching the customer's door. That's 40% of power currently produced. If there is a marked increase in the number of people starting to plug in their vehicles, either at home or at work, a lot of extra power generation will be required. As more power will be required, that percentage of 'lost' power must also be factored into our ability to generate enough electricity to power society's needs. As Ontario will have to start shutting down it's nuclear power plants in 20 years, how is this power to be generated. Hopefully solar panels and wind can make up the difference but if NIBLYism continues to flourish, then there may be some difficulties in getting enough alternative power generators in place. We also will need to start accounting for the intensification of our cities. More people requiring more electricity within a smaller footprint may also limit some of our production opportunities. I'm all for creating cleaner air, but society needs to realize that to cut back on pollution this is a societal problem, not simply an automotive issue

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